Work in Progress

• Political Influence during Childhood
with S. Galletta, F. Masera and M. Le Moglie

Working Papers

• ​Cocaine goes Bananas: Global Spillovers from an Illicit Supply Shock

​Working Paper, with A. Soliman and J. Vargas

• Breaking negative narratives: Long-term Social Progress and Trust in Institutions   ​R&R 

Working Paper, with F. Braccioli and A. Martinangeli

 • ​A loan you can’t refuse: Credit rationing and organized crime infiltration of distressed firms    R&R

Working Paper, with M. De Simoni, D. Marchetti, G. Marcolongo, P. Pinotti - Media: Avvenire

• Women Behind Bars: Do Single-Gender Prisons Reduce Recidivism?

Working Paper, with F. Calamunci, G. Mastrobuoni and D. Terlizzese - Media: La Stampa

• A few Bad Apples? Criminal Charges, Political Careers, and Policy Outcomes

Working Paper, with D. Britto, M. Le Moglie, P. Pinotti and B. Sampaio - Media: Folha de S.Paulo

• Violence against Women in Politics  conditionally accepted: Journal of Politics

Working Paper​​​​, with G. Dipoppa and M. Pulejo  - Media: TheGuardian Vanity Fair, Elle - LaRepubblica - Vox Talks (podcast) - Vox EU  - Lavoce.info - IlFattoQuotidiano - TheConversation - TV2000(podcast)

• Mafia, Politics and Machine Predictions

Working Paper, with G. Campedelli and M. Le Moglie - Media: Courrier  International-VoxEU - SlowNews - L'espresso - Wired Italia (Podcast) - Radio24 (Podcast)RAI3

• Externalities and the Erosion of Trust

Working Paper (previously Wind of Change? Experimental Survey Evidence on the COVID19 Shock and Socio-Political Attitudes in Europe), with A. Martinangeli, F. Passarelli, W. Sas and L. Windsteiger - Media: The Conversation

Publications by topic

• ​​Economics of Crime

• ​Political Economics

Fuelling Organised Crime: Oil Thefts and the Mexican Drug War,

with G. Battiston, M. Le Moglie and P. Pinotti, 

Economic Journal (2024)

​Media: VoxDev


Organized Crime, Violence and Support for the State

with G. Campedelli, A. Martinangeli and P. Pinotti​, ​

Journal of Public Economics (2023)

​Media: VoxEU - Phys.org


Pains, Guns and Moves: The Effect of the US Opioid Epidemic on Mexican Migration

with M. Le Moglie and F. Masera  

Journal of Development Economics (2023) 


Doing Business Below the Line: Screening, Mafias and European Funds

with G. Dipoppa 

The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization (2022)

​Media: Political Violence at a Glance

​ 

Mafia, Elections and Political Violence

with G. Dipoppa

Journal of Public Economics (2017)

Media: TheConversation - National Post


Strike one to educate one hundred: Organized crime, political selection and politicians’ ability

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (2017)

Media: The Conversation - Chicago Tribune


Organised Crime, Institutions and Political Quality: Empirical Evidence from Italian Municipalities

with B. Geys

The Economic Journal (2015)​

​Media: The Conversation - Chicago Tribune - IlFattoQuotidiano.it - Lavoce.info - The Guardian 

Decision-Making in the Dark: The Asymmetric Spread of COVID-19 Policies

with P. Stanig and L. Curini

Comparative Political Studies (2025)

Fiscal Rules, Corruption and Electoral Accountability

with T. Giommoni

Journal of Politics (2024) 

MediaFaculti - The Telegraph - Vox EU 


The Causal Impact of Pandemic Distress on Anti-Immigration Sentiments

with A. Martinangeli, F. Passarelli, W. Sas and L. Windsteiger

Economica (2024)


Does the winner take it all? Redistributive Policies and Political Extremism

with A. Piolatto and W. Sas

Regional Science and Urban Economics (2024)

Media: VoxEU


Never Forget the First Time: The Persistent Effects of Corruption and the Rise of Populism in Italy

with A. Aassve and M. Le Moglie 

Journal of Politics (2023)

Media: Corriere della Sera


Dynasties and Policymaking

with A. Romarri​

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (2021)

Media: Lavoce.info


Street vendors, incentives and self-regulation: a field study in urban India

with D. Tommasi , S. Mookerjee

The Review of Economics and Statistics (2020)

Media: Vox Dev


Abandon Ship? Party Brands and Politicians' Responses to a Political Scandal​

with S. Galletta , B. Geys

Journal of Public Economics (2020)  ​​


Popularity shocks and political selection: The effects of anti-corruption audits on candidates’ quality

with F. Cavalcantii, S. Galletta

Journal of Public Economics (2018)


The Strength of Weak (Family) Ties: Family Networks in High vs. Low Income Countries

with B. Geys

Journal of Development Studies (2015)


Interpersonal trust and welfare state support

with B. Geys

European Journal of Political Economy (2015)

Media: The New York Magazine


Public support for European fiscal integration in times of crisis

with B. Geys

Journal of European Public Policy (2015)​​

Books

 •​ "Fallimento Lookdown"

with P. Stanig, EGEA Bocconi Editore (2021) 

Book Chapters

Unpublished Working Papers

• Toxic Loans and the Entry of Extreme Candidates

Working Paper, with E. Sartre  ​​