Work in Progress
with S. Galletta, F. Masera and M. Le Moglie
Working Papers
• Cocaine goes Bananas: Global Spillovers from an Illicit Supply Shock
Working Paper, with A. Soliman and J. Vargas
• Breaking negative narratives: Long-term Social Progress and Trust in Institutions R&R
Working Paper, with F. Braccioli and A. Martinangeli
• A loan you can’t refuse: Credit rationing and organized crime infiltration of distressed firms R&R
Working Paper, with M. De Simoni, D. Marchetti, G. Marcolongo, P. Pinotti - Media: Avvenire
• Women Behind Bars: Do Single-Gender Prisons Reduce Recidivism?
Working Paper, with F. Calamunci, G. Mastrobuoni and D. Terlizzese - Media: La Stampa
• A few Bad Apples? Criminal Charges, Political Careers, and Policy Outcomes
Working Paper, with D. Britto, M. Le Moglie, P. Pinotti and B. Sampaio - Media: Folha de S.Paulo
• Violence against Women in Politics conditionally accepted: Journal of Politics
Working Paper, with G. Dipoppa and M. Pulejo - Media: TheGuardian Vanity Fair, Elle - LaRepubblica - Vox Talks (podcast) - Vox EU - Lavoce.info - IlFattoQuotidiano - TheConversation - TV2000(podcast)
• Mafia, Politics and Machine Predictions
Working Paper, with G. Campedelli and M. Le Moglie - Media: Courrier International-VoxEU - SlowNews - L'espresso - Wired Italia (Podcast) - Radio24 (Podcast), RAI3
• Externalities and the Erosion of Trust
Working Paper (previously Wind of Change? Experimental Survey Evidence on the COVID19 Shock and Socio-Political Attitudes in Europe), with A. Martinangeli, F. Passarelli, W. Sas and L. Windsteiger - Media: The Conversation
Publications by topic
• Economics of Crime
• Political Economics
Fuelling Organised Crime: Oil Thefts and the Mexican Drug War,
with G. Battiston, M. Le Moglie and P. Pinotti,
Economic Journal (2024)
Media: VoxDev
Organized Crime, Violence and Support for the State,
with G. Campedelli, A. Martinangeli and P. Pinotti,
Journal of Public Economics (2023)
Pains, Guns and Moves: The Effect of the US Opioid Epidemic on Mexican Migration,
with M. Le Moglie and F. Masera
Journal of Development Economics (2023)
Doing Business Below the Line: Screening, Mafias and European Funds,
with G. Dipoppa
The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization (2022)
Media: Political Violence at a Glance
Mafia, Elections and Political Violence
with G. Dipoppa
Journal of Public Economics (2017)
Media: TheConversation - National Post
Strike one to educate one hundred: Organized crime, political selection and politicians’ ability
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (2017)
Media: The Conversation - Chicago Tribune
Organised Crime, Institutions and Political Quality: Empirical Evidence from Italian Municipalities
with B. Geys
The Economic Journal (2015)
Media: The Conversation - Chicago Tribune - IlFattoQuotidiano.it - Lavoce.info - The Guardian
Decision-Making in the Dark: The Asymmetric Spread of COVID-19 Policies
with P. Stanig and L. Curini
Comparative Political Studies (2025)
Fiscal Rules, Corruption and Electoral Accountability
with T. Giommoni
Journal of Politics (2024)
Media: Faculti - The Telegraph - Vox EU
The Causal Impact of Pandemic Distress on Anti-Immigration Sentiments
with A. Martinangeli, F. Passarelli, W. Sas and L. Windsteiger
Economica (2024)
Does the winner take it all? Redistributive Policies and Political Extremism
with A. Piolatto and W. Sas
Regional Science and Urban Economics (2024)
Media: VoxEU
Never Forget the First Time: The Persistent Effects of Corruption and the Rise of Populism in Italy
with A. Aassve and M. Le Moglie
Journal of Politics (2023)
Media: Corriere della Sera
with A. Romarri
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (2021)
Media: Lavoce.info
Street vendors, incentives and self-regulation: a field study in urban India
with D. Tommasi , S. Mookerjee
The Review of Economics and Statistics (2020)
Media: Vox Dev
Abandon Ship? Party Brands and Politicians' Responses to a Political Scandal
with S. Galletta , B. Geys
Journal of Public Economics (2020)
with F. Cavalcantii, S. Galletta
Journal of Public Economics (2018)
The Strength of Weak (Family) Ties: Family Networks in High vs. Low Income Countries
with B. Geys
Journal of Development Studies (2015)
Interpersonal trust and welfare state support
with B. Geys
European Journal of Political Economy (2015)
Media: The New York Magazine
Public support for European fiscal integration in times of crisis
with B. Geys
Journal of European Public Policy (2015)
Books
with P. Stanig, EGEA Bocconi Editore (2021)
Book Chapters
Unpublished Working Papers
• Toxic Loans and the Entry of Extreme Candidates
Working Paper, with E. Sartre